Archive for July, 2007

Money Market Assets Grow

Kurt Brouwer July 28th, 2007

In previous posts (here and here), we saw that some investors were selling shares in hedge funds and in mutual funds. I wondered where the assets were going. Now, the Investment Company Institute reports that cash in money market mutual funds went up last week after declining the previous week:

Total money market mutual fund assets increased by $10.59 billion to $2.584 trillion for the week ended Wednesday, July 25, the Investment Company Institute reported today.

Assets of Money Market Mutual Funds
(billions of dollars)

Investment Company Institute

It seems that money market funds are gaining assets because other investments are losing them. I wonder what percentage of money market fund assets are being parked there awaiting long-term investment?

Investors Cash Out of Equity Funds

Kurt Brouwer July 28th, 2007

Most of the time investors move in and out of mutual funds in a pretty orderly fashion. But, from time to time, they do so reactively. We are seeing that now as Rob Kelley, staff writer at CNNMoney.com reports:

‘…Mirroring the sell-off in U.S. stocks, this week saw the biggest outflow from U.S. stock mutual funds in five years, according to TrimTabs.

For the week ending Thursday, fund investors cashed out a net of $11.3 billion. The biggest outflow came Tuesday, when investors cashed out a net $5.5 billion, making it the second-highest daily outflow of the year. The highest occurred on Feb. 27, when investors sold a net $6.5 billion worth of U.S.-focused funds following a plunge in the Chinese stock market.

On Thursday, when the Dow tumbled 311 points, the funds saw a net outflow of $4.2 billion.

Other types of funds took a hit as well.

Foreign-stock funds shed $1.6 billion for the week, versus an inflow of $2.0 billion the previous week.

Exchanged-traded funds had outflows of $6.3 billion for the week, versus an inflow of $4 billion the week before.

Investors took $1.1 billion out of bond funds, compared to an inflow of $4.2 billion during the previous week…’

This is interesting. Given that there are trillions in equity mutual funds, an outflow of a few billion is not a large percentage of total assets. Yet, it is the biggest outflow in years. Also, it was across the board–U.S. equity funds, foreign equity funds, bond funds etc.

My experience is that when a certain type of mutual fund is hot, money from investors chasing the hot return flows in. And, when a type of mutual fund is cold, investors pull money out. But these kinds of movements tend to occur late in the game and their timing is off.

In this case, investors are pulling out of equity funds and even bonds funds, so where are the assets going? Certainly not into real estate. And, the previous post pointed out that some investors are pulling out of hedge funds. So where are the assets from all these sales?

Wealthy Investors Cut Hedge Fund Exposure

Kurt Brouwer July 28th, 2007

This is an interesting post from Robert Frank at the WSJ’s blog, The Wealth Report, which is devoted to tracking what rich folks do with their money[emphasis added]:

‘For more than six months, I’ve been writing about how the rich are putting less and less money into hedge funds. They could see for themselves — despite constant media reports to the contrary — that returns were slowing while the risks were increasing (along with the fees)…’

‘…And with returns slowing, the investors were getting frustrated paying the “2 and 20″ fees. The only reason they weren’t taking more money out en masse was that many hedge funds had long lock-up periods for investments.

Now we have some new numbers, and they bear out my earlier reporting. According to Cap Gemini and Merrill Lynch’s World Wealth Report, issued Wednesday, the rich cut their exposure dramatically to “alternative investments” — a class that includes hedge funds, private equity, structured products, venture capital and currencies.

In 2005, the world’s financial millionaires (those with investible assets of $1 million or more, not including primary residence) had 20% of their investments in alternatives. In 2006, they cut that exposure in half — to 10%…’

The term hedge fund is a bit confusing to many people because many ‘hedge’ funds take lots of risk and do not seem to balance out the risks they are taking. Yet, the term hedge itself implies the principle of hedging your bet, which means reducing the risk you take.

The original hedge fund started by A.W. Jones almost 60 years ago would be known as a long/short fund today. It bought stocks the manager thought were undervalued, but also balanced or ‘hedged’ that exposure by shorting stocks he did not like. Jones also used leverage or borrowing to accelerate returns. Jones also pioneered the use of incentive fees.

Today, the term hedge fund is primarily a reference to an investment partnership of some type in which the general partner or managing member charges a management fee and an incentive fee or carried interest. This is often 2% as a management fee and 20% as an incentive fee. That’s where the above reference to ‘2 and 20′ comes from.

There is nothing wrong with hedge funds as an investment structure. However, the details are critical. They would have to be carefully-selected both as individual investments and as to their impact on an overall portfolio. In short, they have to make investment sense. The other issue is cost structure in that their cost structure has to be reasonable for what they do. No doubt there are investment firms that can warrant the 2 and 20 cost structure, but that is a high hurdle to overcome.

Apparently, many private investors who jumped on the hedge fund bandwagon have now concluded the same thing.

Update — Aisle Nine for Muni Bond Funds

Kurt Brouwer July 27th, 2007

Here is a follow-up to my recent post on muni bond funds, Aisle Nine for Muni Bond Funds.

After reading the post, my colleague, Rita Lee, pointed out that by shopping around a bit, you can find superb funds such as Schroder Municipal Bond (SMBVX). She wrote:

David Baldt, who was a Morningstar Bond Fund Manager of the Year for 1997, has managed the Schroder Muni Bond Fund since inception. Baldt and his team have 65 combined years of fixed income investment experience; many have worked with Baldt since his days at Morgan Grenfell. Schroders is a global asset management company with $150 billion under management.

The fund began in December 2003, but previously Baldt ran the Scudder Municipal Bond Fund, which we also invested in until he left to join Schroders.

In the tax-exempt, fixed income world, Baldt and team stand out from those who believe in betting on interest rate movements or forecasting shifts on the yield curve. Baldt believes in paying attention to the bond issue itself – the amount of the issuance, indenture of the bond, repayment and call features, the market’s response or biases to/against the bond, and other obscure characteristics of the bond. Also importantly, the team asks, is the market pricing the bond right? For the past decade and more, they have been diligent at unearthing little know facts of the bonds they bought. Many a times, they found municipal bonds yielding higher than comparable maturity and quality corporates.

We think their strategy is unique and promising through any point of the market cycle. And, their results have been very good, both at Schroders and at Scudder, their previous firm.

David Baldt’s approach to buying muni bonds is a refreshing change to many tax-exempt funds. It is hard to fault Russel Kinnel’s admonition to just shop at Fidelity or Vanguar. However, if you do that you would miss out on a unique fund like Schroder Muni.

 

Comments Considered

Kurt Brouwer July 27th, 2007

I’m considering opening this blog up to comments. Until now, I have not done so. I’ll try it going forward for a while and see how it works.  Any posts prior to this one will not be open for comments.  All comments will be reviewed before being posted.

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